Triage performance and physiological predictors of serious illness in febrile children in the pediatric emergency department
Official title: Triage Performance and Physiological Parameters Predicting Serious Illness in Children Presenting With Fever to the Pediatric Emergency Department: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study
Run by TC Erciyes University · NCT07739004 · Data updated 2026-11-12
This study tests whether the initial color-coded triage category and vital signs at triage can predict serious outcomes in febrile children who come to pediatric emergency departments in Turkey.
Quick facts
| Study type | Observational |
|---|---|
| Ages | 0 Years to 18 Years |
| Sex | All |
| Enrollment | 3000 (estimated) |
| Sponsor | TC Erciyes University Academic / other |
| Locations | 10 sites (Kayseri, Talas and 9 other locations) |
| Status | Recruiting |
| Started | July 28, 2026 |
| Main results expected | November 1, 2026 |
| Study ends | December 1, 2026 |
| Registry record updated | August 5, 2026 |
| Trial ID | NCT07739004 on ClinicalTrials.gov |
Is this trial a fit for you?
✓Likely a good fit
Children aged 0-18 years presenting with fever to participating pediatric emergency departments.
✕Probably not a fit
Children without a risk signal on triage or physiological assessment may have a low likelihood of serious outcomes and may not derive additional benefit from the predictive model.
A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.
What this trial studies
This multicenter prospective observational study enrolls children aged 0-18 with fever across 10 Turkish pediatric emergency departments to see how well the Ministry of Health’s color-coded triage (Red-Yellow-Green) predicts serious outcomes. It also evaluates whether physiological measurements taken at triage (heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, capillary refill time, level of consciousness, and overall appearance) add prognostic value beyond triage alone. Triage decisions remain unchanged during care, and the study uses standardized forms and pre-specified statistical criteria to compare models with triage alone versus triage plus physiological data and laboratory variables. The primary outcome is a composite of serious events, with analyses including sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, and mixed-effects logistic regression to account for center differences.
Why it matters
Potential benefit: If successful, the approach could improve early identification of febrile children at risk for serious illness.
How similar studies have gone: Prior work suggests that combining triage with physiological data can improve risk stratification in acute pediatric settings, but results vary by setting and population.
Who can join: the full rules
Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria: * Age 0-18 years * Presentation to the pediatric emergency department * Fever \>=38.0 C at triage OR history of fever within the preceding 24 hours Exclusion Criteria: * Presentation due to trauma * Elective visits * Missing triage data * Re-attendance within 72 hours for the same episode (only the first visit is included)
Where it's running
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Erciyes University Faculty of Medicine
Kayseri, Talas, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Adana City Training and Research Hospital
Adana, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Cukurova University Faculty of Medicine
Adana, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Akdeniz University Faculty of Medicine
Antalya, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Osmangazi University Faculty of Medicine
Eskişehir, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Kartal Dr. Lutfi Kirdar City Hospital
Istanbul, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting
Show 4 more locations
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Dokuz Eylul University Faculty of Medicine
Izmir, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Kayseri City Hospital
Kayseri, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Celal Bayar University Faculty of Medicine
Manisa, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting -
Tokat University Faculty of Medicine
Tokat Province, Turkey (Türkiye) Recruiting
Study contacts
- Principal investigator: Yilmaz Secilmis — TC Erciyes University
- Study coordinator: Yilmaz Secilmis, MD
- Email: yilmazsecilmis@erciyes.edu.tr
- Phone: +905063013174
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How to take part
- Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
- Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
- Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.