Clinical trial Recruiting at 10 sites Observational Ages 0 to 18

Triage performance and physiological predictors of serious illness in febrile children in the pediatric emergency department

Official title: Triage Performance and Physiological Parameters Predicting Serious Illness in Children Presenting With Fever to the Pediatric Emergency Department: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

Run by TC Erciyes University · NCT07739004 · Data updated 2026-11-12

This study tests whether the initial color-coded triage category and vital signs at triage can predict serious outcomes in febrile children who come to pediatric emergency departments in Turkey.

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Quick facts

Study typeObservational
Ages0 Years to 18 Years
SexAll
Enrollment3000 (estimated)
SponsorTC Erciyes University
Academic / other
Locations10 sites (Kayseri, Talas and 9 other locations)
StatusRecruiting
StartedJuly 28, 2026
Main results expectedNovember 1, 2026
Study endsDecember 1, 2026
Registry record updatedAugust 5, 2026
Trial IDNCT07739004 on ClinicalTrials.gov

Is this trial a fit for you?

Likely a good fit

Children aged 0-18 years presenting with fever to participating pediatric emergency departments.

Probably not a fit

Children without a risk signal on triage or physiological assessment may have a low likelihood of serious outcomes and may not derive additional benefit from the predictive model.

A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.

What this trial studies

This multicenter prospective observational study enrolls children aged 0-18 with fever across 10 Turkish pediatric emergency departments to see how well the Ministry of Health’s color-coded triage (Red-Yellow-Green) predicts serious outcomes. It also evaluates whether physiological measurements taken at triage (heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, capillary refill time, level of consciousness, and overall appearance) add prognostic value beyond triage alone. Triage decisions remain unchanged during care, and the study uses standardized forms and pre-specified statistical criteria to compare models with triage alone versus triage plus physiological data and laboratory variables. The primary outcome is a composite of serious events, with analyses including sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, and mixed-effects logistic regression to account for center differences.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, the approach could improve early identification of febrile children at risk for serious illness.

How similar studies have gone: Prior work suggests that combining triage with physiological data can improve risk stratification in acute pediatric settings, but results vary by setting and population.

Who can join: the full rules

Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria:

* Age 0-18 years
* Presentation to the pediatric emergency department
* Fever \>=38.0 C at triage OR history of fever within the preceding 24 hours

Exclusion Criteria:

* Presentation due to trauma
* Elective visits
* Missing triage data
* Re-attendance within 72 hours for the same episode (only the first visit is included)

Where it's running

  • Erciyes University Faculty of Medicine
    Kayseri, Talas, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Adana City Training and Research Hospital
    Adana, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Cukurova University Faculty of Medicine
    Adana, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Akdeniz University Faculty of Medicine
    Antalya, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Osmangazi University Faculty of Medicine
    Eskişehir, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Kartal Dr. Lutfi Kirdar City Hospital
    Istanbul, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
Show 4 more locations
  • Dokuz Eylul University Faculty of Medicine
    Izmir, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Kayseri City Hospital
    Kayseri, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Celal Bayar University Faculty of Medicine
    Manisa, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting
  • Tokat University Faculty of Medicine
    Tokat Province, Turkey (Türkiye)
    Recruiting

Study contacts

Similar studies

Other studies for the same condition or treatment. Recruiting studies are listed first.

How to take part

  1. Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
  2. Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
  3. Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.
Last reviewed 2026-11-14 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.