Clinical trial Recruiting at 1 site Observational Ages 40 and up

Using machine learning to predict outcomes for COPD patients in Hong Kong

Official title: Predicting Adverse Outcomes Using Machine Learning of COPD Patients in Hong Kong

Run by Chinese University of Hong Kong · NCT05825014 · Data updated 2026-11-12

This study is trying to use computer technology to predict which COPD patients in Hong Kong might need to go back to the hospital soon after being discharged, so they can get better care.

Quick facts

Study typeObservational
Ages40 Years and up
SexAll
Enrollment100000 (estimated)
SponsorChinese University of Hong Kong
Academic / other
Locations1 site (Hong Kong, New Territories)
StatusRecruiting
StartedAugust 29, 2023
Main results expectedApril 30, 2027
Study endsApril 30, 2028
Registry record updatedMarch 18, 2026
Trial IDNCT05825014 on ClinicalTrials.gov

Is this trial a fit for you?

Likely a good fit

Ideal candidates for this study are individuals aged 40 and older who have been diagnosed with COPD and discharged from the hospital between 2016 and 2022.

Probably not a fit

Patients whose admissions were due to causes other than COPD will not benefit from this study.

A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.

What this trial studies

This observational study aims to develop predictive models for patients diagnosed with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) at the time of discharge from hospital admissions in Hong Kong. By utilizing machine learning techniques, the study will focus on predicting early admissions, frequent readmissions, mortality, and long hospital stays among COPD patients. The research will analyze data from COPD admissions between 2016 and 2022, leveraging spirometry results to validate diagnoses. The ultimate goal is to identify key factors that contribute to hospital readmissions and improve health outcomes for COPD patients.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, this study could lead to improved management strategies for COPD patients, potentially reducing hospital readmissions and mortality rates.

How similar studies have gone: Other studies utilizing machine learning for predicting outcomes in COPD patients have shown promise, indicating that this approach may be effective.

Who can join: the full rules

Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria:

* ≥40 years
* Patients are discharged from 2016 -2022
* Discharge Diagnosis: Using the Discharge Diagnosis ICD Codes found in the Primary Diagnosis to determine if a patient has COPD
* Validated against Spirometry results (for patient with a spirometry reading):

Spirometry reading taken from anytime point before. Patient should have Post FEV1/FVC ratio of \< 0.7 in any one of the spirometry readings. If Post FEV1/FVC is not available, we will check if patients have a Pre FEV1/FVC value, and will also include patients with Pre FEV1/FVC ratio of \< 0.7 in any one of the spirometry readings.

Exclusion Criteria:

* Admission diagnosis due to causes other than COPD

Where it's running

  • The Chinese University of Hong Kong
    Hong Kong, New Territories, Hong Kong
    Recruiting

Study contacts

Similar studies

Other studies for the same condition or treatment. Recruiting studies are listed first.

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How to take part

  1. Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
  2. Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
  3. Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.
Last reviewed 2026-11-14 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.