Clinical trial Recruiting at 2 sites Observational Ages 18 to 45 Women only

Predicting pregnancy outcomes after assisted reproduction using a machine-learning model

Official title: Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Prognostic Model for Early Prediction of Pregnancy Outcomes Following Assisted Reproductive Treatment: A Retrospective and Prospective Cohort Study

Run by BetaPlus Center for Reproductive Medicine · NCT07855783 · Data updated 2026-11-12

A machine-learning model will be tested to see if early beta-hCG levels can predict live birth and identify pregnancies at risk after IVF or FET (with exploratory look at IUI).

Quick facts

Study typeObservational
Ages18 Years to 45 Years
SexWomen only
Enrollment2200 (estimated)
SponsorBetaPlus Center for Reproductive Medicine
Academic / other
Locations2 sites (Rijeka and 1 other locations)
StatusRecruiting
StartedJanuary 1, 2026
Main results expectedDecember 31, 2026
Study endsSeptember 30, 2027
Registry record updatedOctober 7, 2026
Trial IDNCT07855783 on ClinicalTrials.gov

Is this trial a fit for you?

Likely a good fit

Women who underwent ART (IUI, IVF/ICSI, or FET) with at least one positive early beta-hCG and available pregnancy outcomes.

Probably not a fit

Patients without early beta-hCG data or lacking sufficient clinical variables for modeling may not benefit from the predictions.

A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.

What this trial studies

This observational study will develop and validate a machine-learning model that uses early pregnancy data, especially serum beta-hCG values, to predict live birth and differentiate pregnancies at risk for biochemical pregnancy or early loss after ART. Data will come from retrospective clinical records, with a prospective validation cohort receiving no changes to their treatment. The primary focus is on IVF and FET cycles, with exploratory analysis for IUI outcomes. The study aims to provide early, actionable information to improve counseling and management during the first weeks after a positive pregnancy test.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, the model could help clinicians and patients understand early pregnancy prognosis after ART and guide management decisions.

How similar studies have gone: Previous research has linked beta-hCG patterns to pregnancy outcomes, and similar approaches have shown promise in prognostic modeling for ART pregnancies.

Who can join: the full rules

Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria:

* Women who underwent ART procedures (IUI, IVF/ICSI, or FET) using homologous oocytes.
* Availability of at least one positive early serum beta-HCG measurement after aspiration, FET, or insemination (beta-HCG \>10 mIU/mL).
* Availability of the pregnancy outcome.
* Availability of relevant patient characteristics and clinical variables required for predictive modeling.
* For embryo-transfer cycles, availability of information on embryo developmental stage and number of embryos transferred where applicable.
* For the prospective validation cohort, written informed consent.

Exclusion Criteria

* Missing beta-HCG measurements critical for model input.
* Missing key demographic or clinical variables required for predictive modeling.
* Missing ART treatment protocol where required for the model.
* Missing pregnancy outcomes.
* Multiple pregnancy, hydatidiform mole, heterotopic pregnancy, and ectopic pregnancy will be excluded from the primary live-birth analysis but will be described separately and, where sample size permits, evaluated as secondary adverse pregnancy outcomes.
* Non-consent for prospective participation in validation.

Where it's running

  • Clinical Hospital Center
    Rijeka, Croatia
    Recruiting
  • BetaPlus Center for Reproductive Medicine
    Zagreb, Croatia
    Recruiting

Study contacts

  • Principal investigator: Romana Dmitrovic — BetaPlus Center for Reproductive Medicine
  • Study coordinator: Romana Dmitrovic
  • Email: romana@betaplus.hr
  • Phone: +385981983563

Similar studies

Other studies for the same condition or treatment. Recruiting studies are listed first.

How to take part

  1. Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
  2. Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
  3. Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.
Last reviewed 2026-11-14 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.