Genetic risk score and progression to insulin in type 1 diabetes
Official title: Genetic Risk Score of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus for Progression to Insulin in Diabetic Patients Lack of Predictive Value: a Multicenter Nested Case-control Study
Run by Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University · NCT07621445 · Data updated 2026-11-12
This study tests whether a genetic risk score can predict which people with type 1 diabetes will need insulin progression over three years.
Quick facts
| Study type | Observational |
|---|---|
| Ages | 14 Years to 50 Years |
| Sex | All |
| Enrollment | 2950 (estimated) |
| Sponsor | Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University Academic / other |
| Locations | 1 site (Changsha, Hunan) |
| Status | Recruiting |
| Started | October 27, 2025 |
| Main results expected | December 31, 2029 |
| Study ends | December 31, 2029 |
| Registry record updated | June 2, 2026 |
| Trial ID | NCT07621445 on ClinicalTrials.gov |
Is this trial a fit for you?
✓Likely a good fit
Ideal candidates are individuals aged 14–50 with a recent diagnosis of diabetes (within one year) who have diagnostic glucose or HbA1c criteria and no major exclusion conditions.
✕Probably not a fit
Patients with different diabetes etiologies, those on long-term immunosuppressants, pregnant/lactating individuals, or those with severe comorbidities may not benefit from this predictive approach.
A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.
What this trial studies
This multicenter nested case-control study examines whether a genetic risk score can predict progression to insulin deficiency in individuals with type 1 diabetes. Cases are patients who progressed to insulin deficiency or severe insulin deficiency, while controls did not progress to insulin deficiency. The study follows participants for three years to compare genetic characteristics between groups. Eligibility includes newly diagnosed diabetes patients aged 14–50, diagnosed within the last year, with specific glucose or HbA1c criteria; certain conditions and treatments exclude participation. Interventions are observational, focusing on collecting observational indicators rather than administering treatments.
Why it matters
Potential benefit: If successful, the genetic risk score could help identify which patients are more likely to require insulin earlier in the disease course.
How similar studies have gone: Previous research has explored genetic risk scores in type 1 diabetes, but applicability to predict insulin deficiency progression remains an area with mixed results, making this study somewhat novel.
Who can join: the full rules
Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria: * Gender is not restricted. * Age ranges from 14 to 50 years old. * Diagnosis of diabetes within \< 1 year: 1. If there are diabetes symptoms and meet any of the following criteria:① Plasma glucose at any time ≥ 11.1 mmol/L (200 mg/dL), or② Fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L (126 mg/dL), or③ Plasma glucose 2 hours after OGTT/post - meal ≥ 11.1 mmol/L (200 mg/dL), or④ HbA1c ≥ 6.5%. 2. If there are no diabetes symptoms, another test on a different day is required for diagnosis. * Newly - diagnosed diabetes patients whose type diagnosis is considered unclear clinically. Exclusion Criteria: * Peak C-peptide \< 200 pmol/L; * Gestational diabetes, monogenic diabetes (neonatal diabetes, MODY), exocrine pancreatic diseases (cystic fibrosis), diabetes caused by drugs or chemicals; * Those who have been under long-term treatment with hormones or immunosuppressants; * Pregnant or lactating women; * Those with concurrent malignant tumors or severe heart, liver, and kidney diseases; * Those with an expected survival time of less than 3 years; * Those with mental disorders or unable to cooperate with the investigation for other reasons; * Acute phase of diabetic ketoacidosis; * Stress conditions such as severe infection, fever, trauma, and major surgery; * Patients lacking major clinical information; * Those considered by the researcher as unfit to participate in this study.
Where it's running
-
Institute of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University
Changsha, Hunan, China Recruiting
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How to take part
- Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
- Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
- Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.