Clinical trial Recruiting at 4 sites Observational Ages 10 to 15

Evaluation of a new model to predict scoliosis progression in adolescents

Official title: Prospective Multicenter Evaluation of a New Predictive Model for the Progression of Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis

Run by St. Justine's Hospital · NCT02434003 · Data updated 2026-11-12

This study is testing a new way to predict which teenagers with scoliosis are likely to have their condition get worse, so doctors can provide better treatment options.

More Scoliosis trials

Quick facts

Study typeObservational
Ages10 Years to 15 Years
SexAll
Enrollment1200 (estimated)
SponsorSt. Justine's Hospital
Academic / other
Locations9 sites (San Diego, California and 8 other locations)
StatusRecruiting
StartedMay 2014
Main results expectedDecember 2027
Study endsDecember 2027
Registry record updatedApril 17, 2024
Trial IDNCT02434003 on ClinicalTrials.gov

Is this trial a fit for you?

Likely a good fit

Ideal candidates are adolescents aged 10 and older diagnosed with idiopathic scoliosis, exhibiting specific curve measurements and skeletal maturity.

Probably not a fit

Patients with previous spinal surgeries, congenital or syndromic scoliosis, or other significant spinal abnormalities may not benefit from this study.

A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.

What this trial studies

This study aims to refine a predictive model for the progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) by analyzing 3D spinal parameters. The model, developed from a cohort of 195 patients, seeks to identify those at significant risk of curve progression, allowing for proactive management strategies such as brace treatment. By distinguishing between patients who will progress and those who will not, the study aims to optimize treatment approaches and reduce unnecessary interventions. The research will involve multiple centers and will include patients with specific eligibility criteria related to their scoliosis condition.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, this model could lead to more personalized treatment plans for adolescents with scoliosis, potentially reducing the need for surgical interventions.

How similar studies have gone: While similar predictive models have been explored, this specific approach utilizing 3D parameters is novel and has not been extensively tested in prior studies.

Who can join: the full rules

Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria:

* Idiopathic Scoliosis (as diagnosed by the surgeon)
* Patients above 10 year old at the time of recruitment
* Spina bifida occulta with no neurological signs and otherwise normal
* Curves ranging between 11º and 40º of Cobb angle measurement and
* Risser 0 or 1, as measured on a standing postero-anterior digital radiograph of the spine.
* All single thoracic, thoraco-lumbar, lumbar, double major and triple major curves will be included in the study.

Exclusion Criteria:

* Previous thoracic, pelvis or spine surgery as they may be co-factors in scoliosis initiation,
* Congenital scoliosis,
* MRI abnormalities (including \> 4mm of Syrinx and/or Chiari malformation)
* Syndromic scoliosis (associated with Marfan's or other genetic syndromes),
* Neuromuscular scoliosis,
* Developmental delay
* Spinal asymmetry
* Symptomatic spondylolisthesis
* Leg length discrepancy longer than 1 cm.
* Unable or unwilling to firmly commit to returning for required follow-up visits

Where it's running

  • Rady Children's Hospital
    San Diego, California, United States
    Recruiting
  • St Justine's Hospital
    Montreal, Quebec, Canada
    Recruiting
  • Queen Mary Hospital
    Hong Kong, Hong Kong
    Recruiting
  • The Meijo Hospital
    Nagoya, Japan
    Recruiting
  • Alfred I. duPont Hospital for Children
    Wilmington, Delaware, United States
    Not yet recruiting
  • Miami Children's Hospital
    Miami, Florida, United States
    Not yet recruiting
Show 3 more locations
  • Mayo Clinic
    Minneota, Minnesota, United States
    Not yet recruiting
  • Robert Debré Hospital
    Paris, France
    Not yet recruiting
  • National University
    Singapore, Singapore
    Not yet recruiting

Study contacts

  • Principal investigator: Stefan Parent, MD, PhD — St. Justine's Hospital
  • Study coordinator: Stefan Parent, MD, PhD
  • Email: stefan.parent@umontreal.ca

Similar studies

Other studies for the same condition or treatment. Recruiting studies are listed first.

How to take part

  1. Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
  2. Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
  3. Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.
Last reviewed 2026-11-14 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.