Clinical trial Recruiting at 1 site Observational Ages 40 and up

CLEAR model to predict when people with severe COPD can be taken off ventilatory support

Official title: Prospective Development and Validation of the CLEAR Model for Predicting Ventilatory Liberation in Severe Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Cohort Study

Run by Assiut University · NCT07579052 · Data updated 2026-11-12

This project will see if the CLEAR model can predict which adults with severe COPD on invasive or non‑invasive ventilation can be safely taken off ventilatory support.

Quick facts

Study typeObservational
Ages40 Years and up
SexAll
Enrollment400 (estimated)
SponsorAssiut University
Academic / other
Locations1 site (Asyut, Assuit Egypt)
StatusRecruiting
StartedApril 29, 2026
Main results expectedApril 1, 2027
Study endsAugust 1, 2027
Registry record updatedMay 11, 2026
Trial IDNCT07579052 on ClinicalTrials.gov

Is this trial a fit for you?

Likely a good fit

Adults aged 40 or older with confirmed or clinically diagnosed COPD admitted to the ICU and receiving invasive or non‑invasive ventilation who are judged ready for a spontaneous breathing or ventilatory withdrawal trial are ideal candidates.

Probably not a fit

Patients younger than 40, those whose respiratory failure is driven primarily by a non‑COPD diagnosis, or those with neuromuscular disease, significant chest wall restriction, an existing tracheostomy, or hemodynamic instability are excluded and unlikely to benefit from this model.

A plain-English reading of the study's rules. Only the study team can confirm whether you qualify.

What this trial studies

This is a prospective, dual‑cohort observational study that develops and internally validates the prespecified CLEAR model to predict sustained liberation from ventilatory support in severe COPD. Two parallel cohorts are enrolled: CLEAR‑MV for patients undergoing spontaneous breathing trials on invasive mechanical ventilation and CLEAR‑NIV for patients undergoing structured withdrawal or low‑support trials on non‑invasive ventilation. The model combines diaphragm ultrasound (diaphragm thickening fraction), ventilatory load indices (RSBI or CLI), gas exchange metrics summarized as a Gas Exchange Index, and peripheral muscle reserve (rectus femoris and vastus intermedius). Parameter estimation follows a locked model structure defined before outcome analysis, with no data-driven variable selection, and performance will be validated in an independent cohort.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, the CLEAR model could help clinicians identify patients who can be safely liberated from ventilatory support sooner, potentially reducing ICU time and ventilation‑related complications.

How similar studies have gone: Previous work using diaphragm ultrasound, RSBI, and gas exchange measures has shown promise for predicting weaning outcomes, but the CLEAR model's combined, prespecified framework is novel and requires prospective validation.

Who can join: the full rules

Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria:

* Age ≥40 years
* Confirmed or clinically diagnosed chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) based on prior spirometry or consistent clinical history
* Admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) with acute respiratory failure requiring ventilatory support
* Receiving either:

Invasive mechanical ventilation (MV), or Non-invasive ventilation (NIV)

-Considered clinically ready for ventilatory withdrawal: Undergoing spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) in the MV cohort Undergoing structured withdrawal or low-support trial in the NIV cohort

Exclusion Criteria:

* Age \<40 years
* Primary diagnosis other than COPD driving respiratory failure (e.g., isolated pneumonia, cardiogenic pulmonary edema without COPD exacerbation)
* Known neuromuscular disease affecting respiratory muscle function
* Significant chest wall deformity or restrictive thoracic disorder affecting ventilatory mechanics
* Presence of tracheostomy at baseline
* Hemodynamic instability requiring high-dose vasopressors at the time of assessment
* Inability to perform a diaphragm or muscle ultrasound (e.g., poor acoustic window, extensive dressings)
* Reduced level of consciousness precluding valid clinical assessment (outside expected NIV cohort context)
* Refusal of consent by patient or legal representative

Where it's running

  • Assuit Univeristy
    Asyut, Assuit Egypt, Egypt
    Recruiting

Study contacts

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How to take part

  1. Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
  2. Check the official listing on ClinicalTrials.gov for the latest contact details and recruitment status.
  3. Contact the study coordinator or principal investigator to ask for pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.
Last reviewed 2026-11-14 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.