Effectiveness of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine in preventing hospitalizations

Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 BNT162b2 Vaccine Effectiveness Study - Kaiser Permanente Southern California

Observational Pfizer · NCT04848584

This study tests how well the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine can prevent hospitalizations for COVID-19 among members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California.

Quick facts

Study typeObservational
Enrollment999 (estimated)
Ages0 Years and up
SexAll
SponsorPfizer Industry-sponsored
Locations1 site (Pasadena, California)
Trial IDNCT04848584 on ClinicalTrials.gov

What this trial studies

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of two doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 vaccine against COVID-19-related hospitalizations among Kaiser Permanente Southern California members. It employs a large retrospective database approach using two parallel designs: a test-negative case-control design and a retrospective cohort design. The study will assess vaccine effectiveness (VE) against acute respiratory illness requiring hospitalization and may also explore various factors such as dosing schedules and specific variants. Data will be collected from patients who have received PCR tests for SARS-CoV-2 after December 14, 2020.

Who should consider this trial

Good fit: Ideal candidates include Kaiser Permanente Southern California members who are eligible for vaccination and have been hospitalized or presented to the emergency department with acute respiratory illness.

Not a fit: Patients who are not members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California or those who have not received the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine may not benefit from this study.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, this study could provide critical insights into the effectiveness of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine in reducing severe COVID-19 outcomes.

How similar studies have performed: Other studies have shown promising results regarding the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines, making this approach both relevant and supported by existing evidence.

Eligibility criteria

Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria for Test Negative Design

* KPSC patients eligible to receive BNT162b2 who are admitted to the hospital (primary objective and some secondary objectives) with acute respiratory infection (ARI; International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes) after 14 December 2020 (date of first vaccinations at KPSC), and who receive a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2.
* For secondary objectives estimating VE against ED admission, the TND will include KPSC patients eligible to receive BNT162b2 who present to the ED with ARI after 14 December 2020, and who receive a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2.
* We will include membership requirement of 1 year prior to index date, which is defined as the date of hospitalization or ED admission (allowing 31-day administrative gap), to facilitate accurate capture of comorbid conditions.

Inclusion Criteria for Cohort Design-

* All KPSC members as of 14 December 2020 (date of first Pfizer vaccination at KPSC) eligible to receive BNT162b2.
* For the cohort study, patients must have at least 1 year of membership (allowing 31-day administrative gap) prior to 14 December 2020 (index date, date vaccinations first began at KPSC) to facilitate accurate capture of comorbid conditions.

Exclusion Criteria Test Negative Design Patients who receive only another newly licensed or investigational SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or COVID-19 prophylactic agent other than Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine prior to hospitalization (or ED, for secondary objective) will be excluded from the study population When estimating VE for BNT162b2 vaccination, patients receiving another newly licensed or investigational SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or COVID-19 prophylactic agent other than Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine prior to hospitalization or ED will be excluded from the analysis. Patients will also be excluded if the index date is within certain time windows from vaccination date, outlined further in the exposure section below.

Exclusion Criteria for Cohort Design There will be no exclusion criteria for the cohort design, however patients will be censored for receiving any other newly licensed or investigational SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or COVID-19 prophylactic agent other than Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine

XBB.1.5-adapted monovalent vaccine eligibility analyses:

Inclusion Criteria:

* KPSC membership for a minimum of 1 year prior to index date, allowing a 30-day gap in membership to allow for delays in renewal. Participants \<1 year did not have a membership requirement.≥6 months of age as of index date
* Admitted to the hospital or had an encounter in the ED, UC, or OP setting with a diagnosis of acute respiratory infection (ARI; defined based on International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes listed in Appendix Table 1) after 25 September 2023
* Received a SARS-CoV-2 PCR or rapid antigen test

Exclusion criteria:

* Individuals who received a non-Pfizer-BioNTech XBB.1.5-adapted monovalent vaccine
* Individuals with an index event \<14 days after vaccination with Pfizer-BioNTech XBB.1.5-adapted monovalent vaccine
* Individuals receiving a mRNA bivalent BA4.5 booster ≤ 8 weeks (≤ 56 days) since receiving last wild type dose
* Individuals with \<28 days between a second and subsequent wild type dose
* Individuals receiving a XBB.1.5-adapted monovalent vaccine ≤ 8 weeks (≤ 56 days) since receiving a mRNA bivalent BA4.5 booster
* Individuals receiving oral COVID-19 antiviral OP treatments within 30 days of index event (will be excluded for primary analysis, but included in sensitivity analyses)

Where this trial is running

Pasadena, California

Study contacts

How to participate

  1. Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
  2. Visit the official trial page on ClinicalTrials.gov for the most current contact information and recruitment status.
  3. Contact the listed study coordinator or principal investigator to request pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.
Conditions COVID-19
Last reviewed 2026-06-13 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.