Comparing mortality predictions in ICU patients by staff and scoring models
28-day Mortality Prediction for Critically Ill Patients in the Intensive Care Unit: Physician-nurse vs. Score. A Prospective Observational Study
This study is testing how well ICU doctors and nurses can predict if critically ill patients will survive for 28 days compared to standard scoring systems.
Quick facts
| Study type | Observational |
|---|---|
| Enrollment | 2000 (estimated) |
| Ages | 18 Years to 99 Years |
| Sex | All |
| Sponsor | Meir Medical Center Academic / other |
| Locations | 1 site (Kfar Saba) |
| Trial ID | NCT06665529 on ClinicalTrials.gov |
What this trial studies
This observational study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of experienced ICU physicians and nurses in predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients compared to established mortality prediction scores like APACHE 2, MPM 2, and MODS. The study will involve approximately 2000 patients admitted to the ICU over a two-year period, focusing on the accuracy of human judgment versus statistical models. Additionally, it will explore which specific parameters influence mortality predictions made by medical staff. The findings could enhance decision-making processes in ICU settings.
Who should consider this trial
Good fit: Ideal candidates for this study are all patients admitted to the ICU for at least 72 hours during the study period.
Not a fit: Patients who are hospitalized in the ICU for less than 72 hours will not benefit from this study.
Why it matters
Potential benefit: If successful, this study could improve the accuracy of mortality predictions, leading to better patient management and outcomes in the ICU.
How similar studies have performed: While there have been studies on mortality prediction in ICU settings, this specific comparison of human judgment versus scoring models is relatively novel.
Eligibility criteria
Show full inclusion / exclusion criteria
Inclusion Criteria: * All patients admitted to the ICU between 1.1.2025 and 1.1.2027. Exclusion Criteria: * Patients who were hospitalized in the ICU for less than 72 hours.
Where this trial is running
Kfar Saba
- Meir Medical Center — Kfar Saba, Israel (Recruiting)
How to participate
- Review the eligibility criteria above with your treating physician.
- Visit the official trial page on ClinicalTrials.gov for the most current contact information and recruitment status.
- Contact the listed study coordinator or principal investigator to request pre-screening. Pre-screening is free and never obligates you to enroll.