Using long-term metabolic patterns to predict diabetes complications

Predicting complications of diabetes with longitudinal metabolic trajectories

NIH-funded research Henry Ford Health + Michigan State University Health Sciences · NIH-11291820

This project uses long-term health measurements and machine learning to spot which people with adult-onset (type 2) diabetes may develop nerve or kidney problems.

Quick facts

Grant typeNIH-funded research
Study typeNIH-funded research
Funding institutionHenry Ford Health + Michigan State University Health Sciences NIH-funded
Lab location1 site (East Lansing, United States)
Project IDNIH-11291820 on NIH RePORTER

What this research studies

This work looks at how your blood sugar, lipids, weight, and other metabolic measures change over years and uses computer algorithms to find patterns linked to nerve damage and chronic kidney disease. The team will analyze repeated lab results and health records to map each person's metabolic trajectory over time. Machine learning models will be trained to identify who is moving toward complications and which time periods or rates of change matter most. The goal is to help clinicians identify higher-risk patients earlier so prevention could be timed better.

Who could benefit from this research

Good fit: Adults with adult-onset (type 2) diabetes who have multiple years of lab measurements or electronic health records — including participants from the communities the project partners with — are the ideal candidates.

Not a fit: People without regular historical metabolic data, children, those with type 1 diabetes, or patients who already have very advanced kidney or nerve damage may not benefit from the predictive models.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, the approach could let doctors identify people at higher risk earlier and target treatments to prevent or delay nerve and kidney damage.

How similar studies have performed: Previous research has used metabolic markers and machine learning for diabetes outcomes, but applying long-term metabolic trajectory patterns specifically to predict neuropathy and chronic kidney disease is relatively new.

Where this research is happening

East Lansing, United States

Researchers

About this research

  1. This is an active NIH-funded research project — typically early-stage science, not a clinical trial accepting patient enrollment.
  2. Some NIH-funded labs run parallel clinical studies or seek volunteers for related work. To check, contact the principal investigator or institution listed above.
  3. For full project details, budget, and progress reports, visit the official NIH RePORTER page below.
Conditions Adult-Onset Diabetes MellitusChronic Renal Disease
Last reviewed 2026-06-13 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.