Predicting breast cancer risk after a high-risk benign breast biopsy

Clinical breast cancer risk prediction models for women with a high-risk benign breast diagnosis

NIH-funded research University of Vermont & St Agric College · NIH-11145035

This project builds risk models to predict short-term and long-term breast cancer risk for women with high-risk benign breast biopsy findings using clinical, imaging, and pathology information.

Quick facts

Grant typeR01 grant
Study typeNIH-funded research
Funding institutionUniversity of Vermont & St Agric College NIH-funded
Lab location1 site (Burlington, United States)
Project IDNIH-11145035 on NIH RePORTER

What this research studies

If I had a core needle biopsy showing a high-risk benign lesion, researchers would combine my age, imaging, pathology details, and other health information with data from many other women to create a personalized risk estimate. They will use large U.S. registries and medical records, review pathology and radiology findings, and test models across different hospitals to make predictions more reliable. The models will aim to predict whether a lesion would be upgraded to cancer at surgical excision and the longer-term chance of developing breast cancer. This information could help guide whether I need surgery, closer surveillance, or preventive measures.

Who could benefit from this research

Good fit: Ideal candidates are women who had a core needle breast biopsy showing high-risk benign lesions (for example, atypical hyperplasia or certain proliferative changes) and are facing decisions about excision versus surveillance.

Not a fit: Women without benign breast disease, women already diagnosed with invasive breast cancer, or those whose lesions are clearly malignant would not benefit from these prediction models.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, the models could reduce unnecessary surgeries and allow more personalized follow-up and prevention for women with high-risk benign breast lesions.

How similar studies have performed: Previous single-center studies have identified risk factors but lacked broadly validated models, so this multi-center effort is intended to create and validate more reliable prediction tools.

Where this research is happening

Burlington, United States

Researchers

About this research

  1. This is an active NIH-funded research project — typically early-stage science, not a clinical trial accepting patient enrollment.
  2. Some NIH-funded labs run parallel clinical studies or seek volunteers for related work. To check, contact the principal investigator or institution listed above.
  3. For full project details, budget, and progress reports, visit the official NIH RePORTER page below.
Conditions Breast CancerBreast Cancer DetectionBreast Cancer Risk FactorBreast Cancer Surveillance ConsortiumBreast Diseases
Last reviewed 2026-06-13 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.