How genes and evolution shape traits and disease risk

Polygenic prediction and evolution of complex traits

NIH-funded research University of Pennsylvania · NIH-11248849

Researchers are using ancient and modern human DNA to learn how genetic changes over time influence traits and disease risk for people from different ancestries.

Quick facts

Grant typeNIH-funded research
Study typeNIH-funded research
Funding institutionUniversity of Pennsylvania NIH-funded
Lab location1 site (Philadelphia, United States)
Project IDNIH-11248849 on NIH RePORTER

What this research studies

This work combines DNA from ancient skeletons with genetic data from living people to see which gene changes were driven by natural selection versus random chance. The team focuses first on Britain as a clear example because of available ancient and present-day samples and well-understood population history. They model how selection over the past 5–10 thousand years changed the frequency of variants linked to complex traits and use that to improve how genetic risk is understood across ancestries. The goal is to separate ancestry-related environmental effects from true genetic causes so predictions of disease risk become more accurate for diverse groups.

Who could benefit from this research

Good fit: People interested in contributing genetic data—especially those of British or other European ancestry as well as participants from diverse ancestries—could be relevant to this research.

Not a fit: People looking for immediate new treatments or clinical care changes are unlikely to get direct benefits from this basic genetic research.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, this could make genetic risk predictions more accurate and fair for people from different ancestral backgrounds.

How similar studies have performed: Previous ancient DNA studies have successfully revealed past natural selection, but applying those findings to improve polygenic risk prediction across ancestries is a relatively new and evolving effort.

Where this research is happening

Philadelphia, United States

Researchers

About this research

  1. This is an active NIH-funded research project — typically early-stage science, not a clinical trial accepting patient enrollment.
  2. Some NIH-funded labs run parallel clinical studies or seek volunteers for related work. To check, contact the principal investigator or institution listed above.
  3. For full project details, budget, and progress reports, visit the official NIH RePORTER page below.
Conditions DiseaseDisorder
Last reviewed 2026-06-09 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.