Estimating how often tuberculosis occurs and how infectious it is

Adapting backcalculation methods to estimate the incidence and infectiousness distributions of tuberculosis

NIH-funded research Boston University Medical Campus · NIH-11060399

This study is looking to get a clearer picture of how many people have tuberculosis (TB) and how long they can spread it, using a special method that was first created for HIV, so we can improve how we diagnose and treat TB and help more people stay healthy.

Quick facts

Grant typeFellowship grant
Study typeNIH-funded research
Funding institutionBoston University Medical Campus NIH-funded
Lab location1 site (Boston, United States)
Project IDNIH-11060399 on NIH RePORTER

What this research studies

This research aims to improve the understanding of tuberculosis (TB) incidence and infectiousness by adapting a method originally developed for estimating HIV incidence. The approach uses a Bayesian framework to analyze existing data and produce more accurate estimates of how many people are infected with TB and how long they remain infectious. By refining these estimates, the research seeks to inform better resource allocation for TB diagnosis and treatment, ultimately aiming to reduce TB-related morbidity and mortality.

Who could benefit from this research

Good fit: Ideal candidates for this research are individuals who are at risk of tuberculosis infection or have been diagnosed with TB.

Not a fit: Patients who are not at risk for tuberculosis or those who have already been effectively treated may not benefit from this research.

Why it matters

Potential benefit: If successful, this research could lead to more effective strategies for diagnosing and treating tuberculosis, potentially saving lives.

How similar studies have performed: Previous research has successfully used similar backcalculation methods for estimating HIV incidence, suggesting potential for success in adapting these methods for tuberculosis.

Where this research is happening

Boston, United States

Researchers

About this research

  1. This is an active NIH-funded research project — typically early-stage science, not a clinical trial accepting patient enrollment.
  2. Some NIH-funded labs run parallel clinical studies or seek volunteers for related work. To check, contact the principal investigator or institution listed above.
  3. For full project details, budget, and progress reports, visit the official NIH RePORTER page below.
Conditions Acquired Immune Deficiency SyndromeAcquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome VirusAcquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeAcquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome Virus
Last reviewed 2026-06-13 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.