Assessing the pandemic risk of influenza A viruses using mathematical models
Official title: Developing novel methods to assess the pandemic potential of influenza A viruses using mathematical modeling and evolutionary methods
Funded at Emory University · NIH-10998045 · Data updated 2026-11-12
This study is looking for new ways to understand how influenza A viruses might spread and change, so we can better predict and prepare for future outbreaks that could affect people.
Quick facts
| Grant type | Fellowship grant |
|---|---|
| Study type | NIH-funded research |
| Funding institution | Emory University NIH-funded |
| Lab location | 1 site (Atlanta, United States) |
| Project start | August 1, 2024 |
| Project end | July 31, 2027 |
| Funding year | 2024 |
| Award (this year) | $48,974 |
| NIH project number | 1F31AI186550-01 |
| Project ID | NIH-10998045 on NIH RePORTER |
Who could benefit from this research
✓Could help
Ideal candidates for this research are individuals at risk of influenza infection, including those with compromised immune systems or underlying health conditions.
✕Less likely to help
Patients who are not at risk for influenza or those who have already been vaccinated against seasonal influenza may not benefit from this research.
What this research studies
This research focuses on developing innovative methods to evaluate the pandemic potential of influenza A viruses. By utilizing mathematical modeling and evolutionary analyses, the project aims to estimate key epidemiological parameters that can help predict the risk of new influenza strains emerging. The research will analyze data from animal models and existing studies to enhance the understanding of how these viruses spread and mutate. This approach could lead to more effective monitoring and response strategies for future influenza outbreaks.
Why it matters
Potential benefit: If successful, this research could significantly improve the ability to predict and manage influenza pandemics, potentially saving lives.
How similar studies have gone: Other research has shown success in using mathematical modeling to predict infectious disease outbreaks, indicating that this approach has potential for similar advancements in influenza research.
Where this research is happening
-
Emory University
Atlanta, United States Active
Researchers
- Principal investigator: Somsen, Elizabeth — Emory University
- Study coordinator: Somsen, Elizabeth
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About this research
- This is an active NIH-funded research project — typically early-stage science, not a clinical trial accepting patient enrollment.
- Some NIH-funded labs run parallel clinical studies or seek volunteers for related work. To check, contact the principal investigator or institution listed above.
- For full project details, budget, and progress reports, visit the official NIH RePORTER page.