Research outlook

Where polycythemia vera treatment is heading

Polycythemia vera · Updated Nov 14, 2026

About 6,000 people in the US are diagnosed with polycythemia vera each year. A JAK2 gene change makes the bone marrow overproduce red blood cells, thickening the blood and raising the risk of clots, strokes and heart attacks. Most people live for decades with treatment: regular phlebotomy (blood removal), low-dose aspirin, and for higher-risk people hydroxyurea, interferon or ruxolitinib. New drugs that work through hepcidin can now keep red cells in check without blood draws.

  1. Now

    Nov 2026

    A first-in-class drug approvedHappened 76.9% no phlebotomy needed

    Rusfertide: 76.9% needed no phlebotomy in weeks 20-32 vs 32.9% on placebo. FDA approved August 2026.

    76.9%: needed no phlebotomy in weeks 20-32, vs 32.9% with placebo.

    A second hepcidin drug worksHappened 0 median phlebotomies

    Sapablursen cut median phlebotomies from 5 to 0 over 20 weeks.

    0: median phlebotomies in 20 weeks, down from 5.

    Interferon as disease-modifying treatmentHappened 3.05 odds ratio vs phlebotomy

    Ropeginterferon roughly tripled the odds of normal blood counts compared with phlebotomy alone.

    3.05: odds ratio for complete blood-count response vs phlebotomy alone.

  2. 6 months

    by May 2027

    Rusfertide in practiceLikely

    Uptake of rusfertide and how it combines with hydroxyurea, interferon or ruxolitinib.

  3. 12 months

    by Nov 2027

    A new pill vs hydroxyureaPossible

    Italfarmaco's givinostat, an HDAC inhibitor, is compared with hydroxyurea (220 people); due July 2026, results expected.

    Blood thinners vs aspirinPossible

    AVAJAK (1,308 people) tests whether apixaban or rivaroxaban prevents clots better than aspirin; due July 2027.

  4. 3 years

    by late 2029

    Sapablursen phase 3Possible 0 median phlebotomies (phase 2)

    INTREPID (250 people) is due September 2028.

    0: median phlebotomies in 20 weeks, down from 5.

    Which first treatment is bestPossible

    MITHRIDATE (586 people) compares ruxolitinib with hydroxyurea or interferon as first treatment for high-risk PV; due October 2028.

  5. 5 years

    by late 2031

    An LSD1 inhibitor for PVLong shot

    Merck's bomedemstat (380 people) is in phase 3; due June 2032.

Happened Likely Possible Long shot

The research paths

Rising

Hepcidin-based drugs

76.9% no phlebotomy needed
Details and 1 trialsHide

Rusfertide and sapablursen control red cells by limiting iron.

WatchINTREPID; real-world rusfertide use.

Active

Disease-modifying drugs

3.05 odds ratio vs phlebotomy
Details and 3 trialsHide
Active

Preventing clots

Details and 1 trialsHide

Testing whether newer blood thinners beat aspirin.

WatchAVAJAK.

Borrowed from other cancers

From Duchenne muscular dystrophy

Givinostat

Phase 3

An HDAC inhibitor approved for Duchenne, tested against hydroxyurea in PV.

From Atrial fibrillation and clot treatment

Apixaban and rivaroxaban

Phase 3

Blood thinners tested against aspirin for clot prevention.

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When the trials finish

Completion dates the trials registered. Results usually follow 3 to 12 months later.

2026202720282029203020312032Today
Jul 2026
Sapablursen (INTREPID)Hepcidin-based drugs
Sep 2028
BomedemstatDisease-modifying drugs
Jun 2032

What just happened

Sapablursen cuts phlebotomies to near zero

Blood.

FDA approves rusfertide

First hepcidin mimetic.

Standard treatment today

How to read this page, and sourcesHow to read this page, and sources

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Last reviewed 2026-11-14 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.