Research outlook

Where bile duct cancer treatment is heading

Cholangiocarcinoma · Updated Nov 13, 2026

Cholangiocarcinoma is cancer of the bile ducts, about 8,000 to 12,000 US cases a year. Most are found late. Immunotherapy with chemotherapy is the first treatment, and about 4 in 10 tumors have a gene change (FGFR2, IDH1, HER2 and others) with a matching drug.

  1. Now

    Nov 2026

    Immunotherapy doubles 3-year survivalHappened 14.6% alive at 3 years

    Durvalumab with chemotherapy: 14.6% alive at 3 years vs 6.9%.

    14.6%: alive at 3 years with durvalumab, vs 6.9%.

    Third FGFR2 drug approvedHappened 46% tumors shrank

    Lirafugratinib shrank tumors in 46% of people with FGFR2 changes; approved September 2026.

    46%: of tumors shrank.

    Treatment before surgeryHappened 18.0 mo without relapse

    In a Chinese trial, pre-surgery therapy doubled time without relapse to 18.0 months.

    18.0 mo: without relapse with treatment before surgery, vs 8.7.

  2. 6 months

    by May 2027

    Tinengotinib after FGFR drugs stop workingPossible

    A 200-person phase 3 for FGFR-altered tumors that grew on earlier FGFR drugs finishes December 2026.

  3. 12 months

    by Nov 2027

    More people tested for gene changesLikely

    With three FGFR2 drugs and HER2 and IDH1 options, tumor gene testing at diagnosis matters more.

  4. 3 years

    by late 2029

    Pre-surgery treatment tested in EuropePossible 18.0 mo without relapse

    PURITY (300 people, Italy) and NEODISCO (150, Netherlands) test treatment before surgery.

    18.0 mo: without relapse with treatment before surgery, vs 8.7.

    HER2 drug moves to first treatmentPossible

    Zanidatamab, approved in 2024 after chemotherapy, is in a phase 3 trial as part of first treatment.

  5. 5 years

    by late 2031

    Earlier detection for people at riskLong shot

    Mayo Clinic's NIH-funded program studies earlier detection and new treatments for liver and bile duct cancers.

Happened Likely Possible Long shot

The research paths

Rising

Gene-matched drugs

46% tumors shrank
Details and 1 trialsHide

Drugs for FGFR2, IDH1, HER2 and other changes, now including ones for resistance.

WatchTinengotinib phase 3.

Rising

Treatment around surgery

18.0 mo without relapse
Details and 2 trialsHide

Giving drugs before surgery to shrink tumors and catch spread early.

WatchEuropean confirmation trials.

Established

Immunotherapy and new antibodies

14.6% alive at 3 years
Details and 1 trialsHide

Immunotherapy is standard; new antibodies are tested after chemotherapy.

WatchTovecimig survival results.

Borrowed from other cancers

From Stomach and esophageal cancer (HER2)

Zanidatamab

Approved (accelerated)

A HER2 antibody approved for both cancers.

From Liver and thyroid cancer

Lenvatinib

Phase 3 positive

Part of the pre-surgery combination in GOLP.

Open to join now

See every recruiting Bile duct cancer trial →

When the trials finish

Completion dates the trials registered. Results usually follow 3 to 12 months later.

2026202720282029203020312032Today
Dec 2026
Tovecimig (CTX-009) with paclitaxelImmunotherapy and new antibodies
Aug 2027
Nov 2028
Chemotherapy before surgery (PURITY)Treatment around surgery
Dec 2028

Knowledge on the way

Not treatments yet: detection, causes and how care is delivered. Mostly NIH-funded.

What just happened

FDA approves lirafugratinib

For FGFR2 fusions or rearrangements.

GOLP: treatment before surgery

NEJM, 18.0 vs 8.7 months without relapse.

Standard treatment today

How to read this page, and sourcesHow to read this page, and sources

See Bile duct cancer trials recruiting now →

Last reviewed 2026-11-13 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.