Research outlook

Where bladder cancer treatment is heading

Bladder cancer · Updated Nov 13, 2026

About 83,000 people in the US are diagnosed with bladder cancer each year, most with early, non-muscle-invasive disease treated with BCG. Advanced bladder cancer has been transformed since 2023: an antibody-drug conjugate paired with immunotherapy now outperforms chemotherapy at every stage, and a blood test can show who actually needs treatment after surgery.

  1. Now

    Nov 2026

    A new standard for advanced bladder cancerHappened +15.4 mo median survival

    Enfortumab vedotin plus pembrolizumab nearly doubled survival over chemotherapy as first treatment.

    +15.4 mo: median survival: 31.5 vs 16.1 months.

    The same combo works before bladder surgery tooHappened 74.7% event-free at 2 years

    For people who cannot have cisplatin, it nearly doubled 2-year event-free survival (74.7% vs 39.4%).

    74.7%: event-free at 2 years, vs 39.4% with surgery alone.

    A blood test decides who needs chemo after surgeryHappened 9.9 mo disease-free survival

    People whose blood stayed free of tumor DNA skipped immunotherapy entirely and still did well; those who tested positive benefited clearly from atezolizumab.

    9.9 mo: disease-free survival with atezolizumab, vs 4.8 months with placebo.

    A bladder implant clears early-stage tumorsHappened 82.4% complete response

    TAR-200, a slow-release gemcitabine device, achieved a complete response in 82% of people who had failed BCG; approved September 2025.

    82.4%: complete response rate.

  2. 6 months

    by May 2027

    TAR-200 tested against BCG itselfPossible

    SunRISe-3 (1,135 people) compares TAR-200 with standard BCG in people never treated before; due September 2029.

  3. 12 months

    by Nov 2027

    Immunotherapy after surgery, without a blood testPossible

    AMBASSADOR (739 people) tests pembrolizumab for everyone after bladder removal, not just those who test ctDNA-positive; due January 2027.

  4. 3 years

    by late 2029

    TAR-200 replaces chemoradiationPossible

    SunRISe-2 (518 people) tests TAR-200 with immunotherapy against standard chemoradiation for muscle-invasive disease; due December 2026.

    A targeted pill for FGFR-altered tumorsLong shot

    Eli Lilly's vepugratinib (450 people) is in phase 3 for urinary tract cancers with an FGFR alteration; due October 2029.

  5. 5 years

    by late 2031

    Adding a third drug to maintenance therapyLong shot

    A National Cancer Institute trial tests adding cabozantinib to avelumab maintenance after first-line chemotherapy.

Happened Likely Possible Long shot

The research paths

Established

Antibody-drug conjugates

+15.4 mo median survival
DetailsHide

Enfortumab vedotin has become central to treatment at every stage.

WatchUse in even earlier, lower-risk disease.

Rising

Bladder-implant devices

82.4% complete response
Details and 2 trialsHide

Slow-release devices placed directly in the bladder, now moving to earlier use.

WatchSunRISe-2 and -3.

Rising

Blood-test-guided treatment

9.9 mo disease-free survival
Details and 1 trialsHide

Using ctDNA to decide who truly needs immunotherapy after surgery.

WatchWhether AMBASSADOR confirms a benefit for everyone, or ctDNA-guided care becomes standard.

Active

Targeted pills and combinations

Details and 2 trialsHide

Borrowed from other cancers

From Other nectin-4-expressing cancers

Enfortumab vedotin

Approved

An antibody-drug conjugate; nectin-4 is also being explored in other solid tumors.

From Other FGFR-altered cancers

Erdafitinib

Approved

An FGFR inhibitor used across cancers with the same gene change.

Open to join now

See every recruiting Bladder cancer trial →

When the trials finish

Completion dates the trials registered. Results usually follow 3 to 12 months later.

2026202720282029203020312032Today
Dec 2026
Pembrolizumab after surgery (AMBASSADOR)Blood-test-guided treatment
Jan 2027
Cabozantinib added to avelumab maintenanceTargeted pills and combinations
Jul 2029
Sep 2029
Oct 2029

What just happened

EV-303: perioperative combo nearly doubles 2-year event-free survival
Blood test guides who needs chemo after surgery

IMvigor011, NEJM.

FDA approves TAR-200 bladder implant

82.4% complete response.

Standard treatment today

How to read this page, and sourcesHow to read this page, and sources

See Bladder cancer trials recruiting now →

Last reviewed 2026-11-13 by the Find a Trial editorial team. Information on this page is for educational purposes and is not medical advice. Always consult qualified healthcare professionals about clinical trial participation.